Bonsack machine

Episode Summary

The Bonsack machine, patented in 1881 by James Bonsack, revolutionized cigarette production. Before this invention, cigarettes were a niche product, with pipes, cigars and chewing tobacco dominating the tobacco market. Bonsack's automated cigarette rolling machine could produce 200 cigarettes a minute, vastly outpacing hand rolling production. Seeing the potential, tobacco entrepreneur James Buchanan Duke acquired a license to use Bonsack's machine. This allowed Duke to mass produce cigarettes at a low cost. However, he now faced the challenge of creating demand for all these cigarettes. Duke invested heavily in advertising and promotion, spending 20% of revenues on marketing by 1889. This advertising succeeded in transforming cigarettes into the most popular form of tobacco consumption by 1923. Some early cigarette marketing campaigns made dubious health claims about brands being less irritating or even aiding weight loss. This led to pushback from candy makers and eventually regulators. However, restrictions on health claims forced marketers to focus more on emotional branding. When products are essentially identical, branding becomes crucial for distinguishing between competitors. This insight drove the rise of iconic brands like Lucky Strike. While branding may seem harmless for products like cereal, its impact on cigarette sales is concerning. Addictive cigarettes are far deadlier than cornflakes. Restrictions on cigarette marketing in many Western nations have helped reduce smoking. However, in developing countries with looser regulations like China, slick branding continues to drive smoking rates higher. The power of branding to override facts remains as strong as ever when it comes to selling cigarettes.

Episode Show Notes

In 1881, James Bonsack developed a machine that made it far easier to mass-produce cigarettes. But at the time, other tobacco products were much more popular – so manufacturers had to find new ways of getting people’s attention. Tim Harford explains why the methods they devised are still working on consumers today.

Episode Transcript

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SPEAKER_02: Car prices haven't gone up in a couple weeks. Maybe it's time to sell. SPEAKER_05: But it will definitely make you an expert on your car's value. Carvana Value Tracker. Visit Carvana.com to start tracking your car's value today. 50 Things That Made the Modern Economy with Tim Harford SPEAKER_06: Terrible. Stick in one's throat. SPEAKER_01: That's one smoker's dismissal of Camel cigarettes before taking a blind taste test in 1920s and that's how he knew the cigarette he was smoking must be a Lucky Strike, his usual brand. Lucky as you see, go down easy and smooth, just like this one. He was, of course, unwittingly smoking a Camel. Nowadays the awesome power of branding is hardly news. Back then it was only just beginning to become apparent. Early big name brands included Kellogg's cereal, Campbell's soup and Colgate toothpaste. But nowhere was branding more crucial than with cigarettes. Why did cigarettes lead the way? The starring role goes to an inventor from Virginia called James Bonsack. In 1881, when Bonsack patented his new machine, tobacco had been around for centuries but cigarettes remained a niche product. The market was dominated by pipes, cigars and chewing tobacco. Bonsack's father owned a wool factory. The son looked at the factory's carding machine – carding is a step in turning fibres into yarn – and wondered if he could adapt it for rolling cigarettes. The contraption he came up with weighed a ton. It churned out two hundred cigarettes a minute – almost as many as a human, rolling by hand, could make in an hour. The significance was clear to tobacco entrepreneur James Buchanan Duke, who promptly cut a deal with Bonsack and set about cornering the cigarette market. But Duke's opportunity was also a challenge. He could make lots of cigarettes, but could he sell them? Cigarettes had an image problem. They were seen as lower status than cigars, which crucially were proving altogether harder to mechanise. Duke wasn't daunted. He saw what he had to do – advertise. By 1889 he was spending some 20% of his revenues on promotion – unheard of at the time. And it worked. By 1923 cigarettes had become the most popular way for Americans to consume tobacco. Some early ad campaigns would now raise an eyebrow. Lucky strikes, for instance, were pitched as an aid to slimming. SPEAKER_06: Reach for a lucky instead of a sweet. SPEAKER_01: That tagline was accompanied by an image of a svelte young lady. Sweetmakers were outraged. One advertised back. SPEAKER_00: Do not let anyone tell you that a cigarette can take the place of a piece of candy. The cigarette will inflame your tonsils, poison with nicotine every organ of your body, and dry up your blood. Nails in your coffin. SPEAKER_01: But who would you trust for health advice? Candy companies or medical professionals? SPEAKER_06: 20,679 physicians say luckies are less irritating. SPEAKER_01: That was a lucky strike campaign. The blind taste tests suggested that those claims about throat irritation were spurious. And in the 1940s a more systematic investigation by Reader's Digest magazine reached the same conclusion. In terms of health, it makes no earthly difference which brand you buy. In the 1950s American regulators decided they shouldn't allow cigarette adverts to reference doctors or body parts. It looked like a crisis for the advertisers but it turned out to be liberating. A realisation dramatised in the television series Mad Men. This is the greatest advertising opportunity since the invention of cereal. SPEAKER_06: We have six identical companies making six identical products. We can say anything we want. SPEAKER_01: The ad man there, Don Draper, is fictional but his insight was on point. When products are essentially indistinguishable, companies could compete on price but that will erode their profit margins. Much better to compete on branding. Make people think the products are different so you can appeal more effectively to different buyers. Economists talk about the consumer surplus produced by a product. That's the enjoyment the product produces, less the money you have to give up to afford it. Does it matter if that enjoyment comes from your appreciation of a product's qualities or your fond beliefs about the brand? In other words, if you confidently misidentify camels as lucky strikes in a blind taste test, should we take less seriously the enjoyment you say you get from lucky strikes? No doubt we can be relaxed about this question when it comes to SPEAKER_01: cornflakes or soup or toothpaste. If you're swayed by adverts for Kellogg's or Campbell's or Colgate, where's the harm? But with a product as deadly as cigarettes, we might worry that the consumer experience is bound up with the branding. Many countries have duly banned television adverts and sports sponsorship. Tobacco companies say there's no compelling evidence these bans work and that might be more persuasive if they hadn't spent years saying there was no compelling evidence that cigarettes caused cancer or heart disease. In many places, smoking is now in decline but in some poorer countries with looser regulations, it's a different story. Around the world, still about six trillion cigarettes are made every year. Put them end to end and every four months, you'd have one long enough to light on the sun. For example, in China, in the half century after Chairman Mao took power, per capita cigarette sales went up roughly tenfold. The China National Tobacco Corporation is the country's most profitable company and it sells 98% of cigarettes. It's state-owned and contributes up to a tenth of government revenues. Perhaps it's no surprise then that China has been late to the game with restrictions on advertising. As recently as 2005, adverts assured, smoking removes your troubles and worries. One brand warned, quitting smoking SPEAKER_06: would bring you misery, shortening your life. That brand's name? Long life. Soon after, SPEAKER_01: the China National Tobacco Corporation embarked on a new policy, premiumisation. China was getting richer so why not persuade consumers to pay more for their smokes? It launched new premium brands which adverts touted as less harmful, higher quality and more prestigious for gift giving. And it worked. Before, discount brands outsold premium brands ten to one. After nine years, they were near parity. According to one study, just 10% of smokers in China are aware that brands labelled light and low tar are no less harmful to your health than other cigarettes. 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