What makes someone vote against their political party? | Sarah Longwell

Episode Summary

Sarah Longwell discusses how tribalism defines American politics today and makes it very difficult for voters to go against their political "tribe". She shares research showing voters care more about belonging to their partisan tribe than broad democratic principles. Longwell tried unsuccessfully to get Republicans to primary Trump in 2020. Focus groups showed Republican voters tolerated Trump's anti-democratic behavior because he was part of their tribal identity. Longwell realized trusted messengers were needed to give Republicans "permission" to vote against Trump. She helped launch Republican Voters Against Trump, sharing testimonials from Republicans explaining why they couldn't vote Trump in 2020. This gave people a new "tribe" where they could maintain their Republican identity but vote against Trump. None of the testimonials mentioned democracy - just Republican values and discomfort with voting Democrat. Longwell explains voters don't explicitly talk about democracy even when opposing anti-democratic candidates. But their actions show an underlying democratic commitment. She argues we need to explain democracy better to people and tie them to the overarching American "tribe" rooted in democratic values, instead of asking them to put democracy over party. If democracy defenders can win now, we can rekindle love for democracy long-term.

Episode Show Notes

Our brains are hardwired to crave community and belonging — a tribal instinct that drives politics in the United States, says political strategist Sarah Longwell. She shares what she learned trying to convince people to vote against their political party in a recent election and shows why telling a better story about democracy is key to bridging the ideological divide.

Episode Transcript

SPEAKER_01: TED Audio Collective. You're listening to TED Talks Daily. I'm your host, Elise Hu. There are conflicting takes about why democracy is under threat, but wide agreement that the system is in trouble. In her 2023 talk from TED Democracy, strategist Sarah Longwell unpacks why it's so important to talk about democracy and talk about it in a better, more convincing way because its very survival is at stake. After the break. Support for TED Talks Daily comes from Odoo. If you feel like you're wasting time and money with your current business software or just want to know what you could be missing, then you need to join the millions of other users who switched to Odoo. Odoo is the affordable, all-in-one management software with a library of fully integrated business applications that help you get more done in less time for a fraction of the price. To learn more, visit Odoo.com slash TED Talks. That's O-D-O-O dot com slash TED Talks. Odoo, modern management made simple. TED Talks Daily is brought to you by Progressive, where drivers who saved by switching save nearly $750 on average. Quote now at Progressive.com. Progressive Casualty Insurance Company and Affiliates National Average 12 month savings of $744 by new customers surveyed who saved with Progressive between June 2022 and May 2023. Potential savings will vary. Support for TED Talks Daily comes from EY Tech Connect Podcast, bringing you candid conversations about the most pressing priorities facing tech, media and entertainment and telecommunications companies and provide strategic insights on the key issues that matter to them, including topics like the top 10 opportunities in tech, the next generation of gaming, the future of connectivity and content and the latest talent strategies. Stream or download the EY Tech Connect Podcast today from wherever you get your podcasts. Today Explained is a daily news show from Vox. Every weekday hosts Sean Ramesvaram and Noel King break down one major story and provide the context you need to wrap your head around the news. From tech to politics, from climate change to the economy and even a sprinkle of pop culture, Today Explained has got you covered. I think you're going to like what you hear. Download Today Explained wherever you listen. SPEAKER_00: Hey guys, I'm Sarah Longwell and my favorite TV show is Survivor. Now you know this show. It's the one where they take a bunch of people, they put them on a desert island, they make them make fire and like, you know, houses, like a shelter and they make them a tribe. And then every week they vote somebody out of the tribe. This show has been on for like 45 seasons. It is in, there's versions of it in 50 different countries. And I think the reason that this show is so popular and enduring is because we can all really relate to that anxiety of being rejected by our tribe. Now social scientists, anthropologists, people who study people, they will tell us that there is nothing more traumatic for a human than getting kicked out of their tribe. We all want to fit in. We all crave community and belonging. We've had tribal instincts for as long as we've been around, right? Humans have. It's hardwired in there as part of our survival instincts so we don't get eaten by lions or bears. And right now our politics is defined by partisan tribalism. Now the nice people at TED, when they asked me to give this talk, they gave me the topic democracy over party, which essentially means asking people to go against their tribe. And I rejected this topic at first. I didn't want to do it because I've listened to thousands of American voters and I know that they don't feel nearly the connection to democracy that they do to their political team, their partisan tribe. In fact, in America, most voters don't think about democracy at all. I learned this one the hard way back in 2018. I was just your average traditional lesbian Republican and I was super alarmed by what Donald Trump was doing to my party. And so I thought somebody should primary him. And so I was running around, talking to a governor and some congressmen, some other people and I was like, you've got to primary this guy. But they all wanted to know one thing. If they ran a primary against Trump, could they win? So I started doing a bunch of polling in focus groups so I could go make the case to these potential candidates that of course Republicans wanted an alternative to Trump. Of course they thought that he was a threat to democracy. Of course they were up for putting democracy over party. Nope. Not at all. Not at all. They liked Trump fine. They thought he was funny. They thought he was a good businessman. They liked that he told it like it was and that he wasn't a regular politician. And I was so startled by how immune these voters seemed to Trump's anti-democratic behavior that I started doing focus groups all the time because I was like, I've got to figure out what is going on here. Polling is whatever, but the thing that I like about focus groups is that you learn as much from what voters don't say as what they do say. And I have never heard a voter say, boy I really like Trump because he has authoritarian vibes. They just don't care about the anti-democratic behavior or they don't even clock that it's anti-democratic. Trump praises dictators. Okay. He hijacks American foreign policy for his own political purposes and gets impeached for it. They don't care. Uses the White House to enrich himself and his family. Not worried about it. Trump's a member of their tribe. Right? So he gets the benefit of the doubt. Even Republican voters who didn't like Trump, even they still recoiled at direct attacks on him, especially if those attacks were coming from outside the tribe. Right? They were coming from the deep state, the media, Democrats, never Trumpers like me. So primaries off the table. We're not doing that. So we have to figure out how to beat Trump in a general election. And I knew that meant building the necessary permission structures to help disaffected Republicans break from their tribe and vote against Trump. That's how we were going to make the margins. And to do that, I knew we needed trusted messengers. Right? Messengers that these folks trusted. Problem was they didn't trust anybody. They didn't trust institutions or experts. They didn't even trust Republican politicians. But then we had a little bit of a breakthrough. So in the focus groups, we started showing people video testimonials. It was like little videos just of regular people, Republicans, talking about why they couldn't vote for Trump again in 2020. And suddenly people were listening. Because it turns out the one group they do trust is people like them. Right? Members of their tribe who don't claim any special knowledge or expertise. So once we realized this, we started asking Republicans who didn't want to vote for Trump in 2020 to send us their stories, to send us more of these videos. God, it was easier because it was the pandemic. And so lots of people, you know, they'd make the videos on their phone. But actually it was really hard at first. People were nervous about saying that they weren't going to vote for Trump publicly. They didn't want their neighbors to find out. They didn't want their spouse to find out. They didn't want their parents to find out. Because that's what tribalism does. Right? It makes us afraid to go against our tribe. So we fought really hard, scrapped for the first hundred. But once we had the first hundred, we knew we had a new tribe. We called it Republican Voters Against Trump. People could maintain their Republican identity. So once we launched Republican Voters Against Trump, went public with it, all of a sudden testimonials came flooding in, unsolicited. Because there were lots of people who felt this way. They just needed a tribe to attach to, to feel safe, to feel secure. There is a reason the phrase, safety in numbers, is a cliche. But here's the thing. None of these testimonials mentioned democracy. Instead, they talked about why they became Republicans in the first place. What their values were. And why those values meant they couldn't vote for Donald Trump. They also talked a lot about how painful it was going to be to vote for Democrats. They really didn't want to do that. But they did. But none of them said that they were doing it to put democracy over party. But that's exactly what they did when they broke from their tribe and voted against a president who was a threat to democracy. Now I know what you're thinking. You're like, okay Sarah, but that's 2020. What about 2022 after the attack on the Capitol and when there are a bunch of Republican candidates running on platforms saying that the election was stolen? Not really. I don't think Democrats talk about democracy. But swing voters, the ones that were going to make up the margins, they never talked about democracy in the focus groups. What they did talk about was how they didn't want to vote for Republicans because they were too extreme. Mainly on abortion. They didn't think they were a threat to democracy. They just thought they were nuts. But here's the thing. Just because voters don't talk about democracy doesn't mean that they don't understand and value democracy. It's just that in America, democracy is like the air we breathe. It's just that thing we do here. And it's so ingrained in who we are that it's really hard to see when it's under threat. And that's why we can't just say democracy and expect that everybody's going to have a shared understanding of what that is and know what we're talking about. Right now, if you talk to a Republican and you said, what's the biggest threat to democracy? They'd tell you, Democrats, because they rigged the 2020 election. If you talk to a Democrat and you said, hey, what's the biggest threat to democracy? They'd tell you it's Republicans because they attacked the Capitol and denied the election results in 2020. But this doesn't mean that we should stop talking about democracy. On the contrary, we need to talk about democracy better. If we're going to ask people to put democracy over party, then we better explain to people what democracy is and why it's good. Why the things that make up a liberal democracy—pluralism, free speech, the rule of law—why those things underpin a free society and make us who we are. Because if we can tell a better story about democracy, we can tell a better story about America where our politics isn't zero-sum. Right? I win, you lose. Because the big tribe that is America, the big tribe that's predicated on our democratic values, that tribe is big enough and strong enough and expansive enough to hold all the other little tribes inside of it. From your progressive Bernie bros to your evangelical Christians to your basic lesbian Republicans. But we've got to attach people to that bigger tribe. But I don't have to tell you, we're in a very precarious moment for American democracy. And if democracy can't hold in America, it's going to make it a lot harder for democracy to survive in other countries. But we are not going to stave off this dangerous version of the Republican Party by telling people to put democracy over party. We're going to do it by winning elections. We're going to do it the same way we built Republican voters against Trump, by building a dominant political coalition using permission structures and trusted messengers. I focus on the center-right. Lots of people focus on other margins. But we are going to have to claw for every margin. Because if we can win right now in the short term, then in the long term, we can set about telling this better story about democracy. Because here's the good news. The fact that voters don't think much about democracy is actually our greatest opportunity. It means that we have the chance, those of us who are trying to defend democracy around the world, it means we have the chance to rekindle the love of democracy for a new generation. And if we can do that, we won't have to ask them to put democracy over party. Thanks. SPEAKER_01: PRX. PRX.