Econ Battle Zone: Disinflation Confrontation

Episode Summary

The podcast episode is an installment of the series "Econ Battle Zone" in which Planet Money reporters compete to explain challenging economic concepts. In this episode, Alexi, Amanda, and Erica are tasked with relating an economic phrase to why inflation has been coming down recently. Alexi is assigned "supply chain healing." He uses extensive metaphors comparing the global supply chain to the human circulatory system and describing how COVID caused economic "palpitations." He explains how stimulus money led to inflation by chasing limited supply. As the supply chain healed, prices moderated. Amanda must explain the concept of "R-star," the theoretical neutral interest rate for an economy at an optimal equilibrium. She interviews New York Federal Reserve President John Williams, an economist who helped develop an R-star model. He explains how R-star helps guide Fed policy when the economy faces shocks like the pandemic. Erica is challenged to explain "labor hoarding" to a child. She creates a mini podcast with her 8-year-old cohost Paul. They discuss how employers have retained workers despite slowing business growth, possibly contributing to persistent inflation. The judges award Erica the win for her creative approach successfully explaining the concept through an entertaining podcast with a child. The episode concludes with Erica receiving the championship belt.

Episode Show Notes

After very high inflation, the United States is finally feeling some relief in the form of "disinflation." But, why exactly has inflation slowed down?

Three Planet Money hosts try to answer that question while competing to be the winner of our very own reporting challenge: Econ Battle Zone!

It's economics journalism meets high-stakes reality TV competition! Will our contestants be able to impress our celebrity judges? How will they manage to incorporate their mystery ingredients? Who will take home the championship belt? Tune in for the inaugural episode of...Econ Battle Zone!

This episode was hosted by Keith Romer, Amanda Aronczyk, Erika Beras, and Alexi Horowitz-Ghazi. James Sneed produced this episode with help from Emma Peaslee. The show was edited by Molly Messick, engineered by Cena Loffredo, and fact checked by Sierra Juarez. Alex Goldmark is our executive producer.

Help support Planet Money and get bonus episodes by subscribing to Planet Money+ in Apple Podcasts or at plus.npr.org/planetmoney.

Episode Transcript

SPEAKER_01: This message comes from NPR sponsor Read Write Own, Building the Next Era of the Internet, a new book on reimagining the internet to empower the creators, fans, and people who make the internet useful. Order Read Write Own today or learn more at readwriteown.com. SPEAKER_11: This is Planet Money from NPR. SPEAKER_07: They came from all across North America. I'm Alexi from Santa Fe, New Mexico. SPEAKER_05: I'm Amanda from Toronto, Canada. America from Queens, New York. SPEAKER_07: Three Planet Money reporters with one shared goal. SPEAKER_13: I'm here to see if I can rise to the challenge. SPEAKER_05: I moved here to America to win. I actually am here to make friends. SPEAKER_07: Welcome to another episode of Econ Battlezone, where today, Alexi, Amanda, and Erica will put all their storytelling savvy and reporting moxie to the test as they battle it out with the title of Econ Battlezone Champion and the coveted Econ Battlezone belt. Let's have today's contestants join us in Econ Battlezone Stadium. Alexi, Amanda, Erica, you all know the rules. You'll each be assigned at random your own Econ Challenge phrase that you will need to report out in a way that explains that phrase and delights our judges. Ooh, sounds good. SPEAKER_05: Ready to win. I'm going to put some smiles on some faces, Keith. As you know, the inflation rate has come down a lot, but economists are still debating why SPEAKER_07: that has happened. So today's challenge phrases all have something to do with that debate. It's up to you to teach us what the connection is. Computer, please shuffle today's phrases. Alexi, you're first. SPEAKER_05: Supply chain healing. Sounds like a Marvin Gaye song. SPEAKER_07: All right, Amanda. Now it is your turn. SPEAKER_14: R star. Ooh, yeah. R star. SPEAKER_07: R star, also known as the natural rate of interest. Erica, you're up. SPEAKER_13: Labor hoarding. I'll take it. SPEAKER_07: Contestants, you now have just 48 hours to become experts in supply chain healing, R star, and labor hoarding. Locate and interview your guests and explain everything to us in just three minutes. Do that well enough to wow our judges and your name will be marked in history as Econ Battlezone Champion. But first, as you know, there is one more twist to Econ Battlezone, your mystery ingredients, the extra little challenge you each must include in your story. Erica, you went last in the last round. This time you will go first. SPEAKER_13: Explain it to a child. Oh boy. I would be like, oh my God, where do I get access to a child? SPEAKER_07: Erica, you will need to explain your Econ challenge phrase to a child. Amanda, it's now your turn. In the public eye. Amanda, your entire story will need to take place and be recorded in a public place. SPEAKER_14: How do you define public? Don't answer that. Oh, we're already nitpicking. SPEAKER_07: Alexi, we will now reveal the final mystery ingredient. SPEAKER_05: Metaphor. It's my middle name. SPEAKER_07: You must include as much metaphor as possible in your story. SPEAKER_07: Sweet. Contestants, you have 48 hours. The clock starts now. I'm your host, Keith Romer, and this is Econ Battlezone. Yeah, got it. SPEAKER_14: Got it, got it, got it. SPEAKER_13: Our star in public. No worries at all. So I got this. Does anyone have a child I can borrow? SPEAKER_01: This message comes from NPR sponsor American Express Business. The enhanced American Express Business Gold Card is designed to take your business further. It's packed with features and benefits like flexible spending capacity that adapts to your business, 24-7 support from a business card specialist trained to help with your business needs, and so much more. The AmEx Business Gold Card, now smarter and more flexible. That's the powerful backing of American Express. Terms apply. Learn more at AmericanExpress.com slash business gold card. This message comes from NPR sponsor CRO. Don't avoid or resist the unknown. Face it head on. CRO offers top flight services in audit, tax, advisory, and consulting to help your business take on today's biggest challenges. Visit embrace volatility.com. SPEAKER_07: Welcome back to Econ Battlezone. I'm joined now by our two guest judges who will be helping me select which of our three contestants will take home the title of Econ Battlezone champion and the coveted Econ Battlezone belt. First up, Luigi Zingales. He's an economics professor at the University of Chicago and a host of the podcast, Capital Isn't. Luigi, what are some of the things you'll be looking for as our contestants try to explain their Econ Challenge phrases? SPEAKER_15: It's relatively easy to be simple and entertaining, but screw up the economics big time. And it's relatively simple to be good with the economics, but be all we like have. And so trying to do the three things at the same time, that's where the battle zone is real. SPEAKER_07: Our second judge is one of the hosts of the podcast today, Explained, and a former host of Planet Money, Noelle King. Noelle, what about those mystery ingredients? What are you keeping your eye on as our three contestants try to incorporate them into their stories? SPEAKER_11: All right, I'm going to say right off the bat, Erica got very lucky. One of the mandates you get from the time you're a rookie reporter onward is you need to be able to explain this to a child. Amanda, I don't know. This is a real curveball here because is she going to be walking out into the street and doing this in public? Is she in Central Park? And then Alexi, I mean, it better be a darn good metaphor, right? This better be a metaphor for the ages as far as I'm concerned. So yeah, this should be a good contest, but ooh, Amanda. SPEAKER_07: Our judges will have to wait to see how our three reporters rise to the challenge. Meanwhile, for Erica, Amanda, and Alexi, the clock has started and they are already discovering just how difficult life in the battle zone can be. SPEAKER_13: So I thought I had a kid because I have got two nieces. I was like, oh, they're perfect, but they both have the flu right now. SPEAKER_07: Erica's challenge phrase is labor hoarding, but first she needs to find a child, any child, to explain it to. SPEAKER_13: I did text a friend and was like, your kid is pretty good. And she was like, yeah, but he thinks a car costs like $10 or something. So I don't know if he's the right kid, but he might be the right kid. I don't know. SPEAKER_07: So you're going for availability over hard economics knowledge from your eight year olds. SPEAKER_13: Yes, I'm going for like, will your mom say it's okay for you to talk to me on Zoom for an hour? I am about to do my co-hosting with my eight year old co-host Paul. His mom just sent me a message saying that he is willing, but cranky. I am just hopeful that it works out. Here we go. Were there any things that your parents said, do not, no matter what you do, do not say those words? SPEAKER_10: Like poop, poop, fart, butt. SPEAKER_13: Okay. I think we can get through it without saying those words. Do you want to get it out of your system and just say them really quickly? I don't really need to say them right now. SPEAKER_10: Okay. Fair enough. SPEAKER_07: While Erica had her key interview locked down, Amanda was still scrambling to find the perfect guest. SPEAKER_14: This is Amanda from NPR from Planet Money. We spoke a long time ago. SPEAKER_07: To help her explain R-Star, the natural rate of interest, she was hoping to land a very big fish, the president of the New York Federal Reserve Bank. SPEAKER_14: We have 48 hours to explain something and I was given R-Star. Yeah. So the hope is to interview someone today or at the latest tomorrow. SPEAKER_07: Without a firm commitment from the New York Fed, Amanda looked for a backup plan. SPEAKER_14: I'm on Eventbrite, my favorite place to go find rando events. And I'm trying to figure out if I could show up at somebody else's event. Speed dating. That's awkward. Life drawing. Huh. Sushi rolling class. I could just be like, hey, oh, you're rolling a tuna roll? Would you like to hear about R-Star? I feel like that transition could work. SPEAKER_07: Alexi had no trouble finding experts who could explain the healing of America's supply chain. His challenge was getting them to play along with all his economic metaphors. SPEAKER_05: Do you think of the global supply chain as kind of like thick iron chain you might see tethered to a ship's anchor? Or do you see it more like a delicate gold chain that somebody like The Rock might wear over a turtleneck? Is this a sprain? Is it a kind of like a hernia? I feel like, uh, is it a heart attack? SPEAKER_05: What are we talking here? SPEAKER_03: It was a heart attack, right? SPEAKER_05: Okay. Um, okay. I feel like I'm swimming in an alphabet soup of confused metaphors. That's a nice metaphor itself. Well, there's one at least. SPEAKER_07: That sound of course means we are onto our second and final day of Econ Battlezone. Now if Battlezone day one is about dreaming big, day two is when our contestants have to turn those dreams into reality and our competitors start to reveal who they really are. SPEAKER_13: I made a little bit of a pivot. Um, I was going to just do like a traditional regular thing and then I was like, wait, shouldn't I make a three minute prototype podcast called Planet Money is for the Kids. SPEAKER_06: Ambitious, but it was a risk. SPEAKER_13: Children's programming is a whole different kind of art form. It's a thing that they say, like, don't make like a new dish for like a dinner party. That's essentially what I'm doing. And I don't really have a backup plan. Like if this doesn't work, I am just kind of done. SPEAKER_07: At the same time, Amanda's big dreams were coming true. SPEAKER_14: Um, I am going to an event this afternoon where the CEO and president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York will be speaking. And it looks like if I'm lucky, I'll get a couple of minutes with him on his own one to one. So that appears to be the plan. That is exciting news. SPEAKER_07: I am really excited. SPEAKER_07: But Amanda's exciting plan put her on a collision course with one of her competitors, Alexi. SPEAKER_05: I was trying to figure out if I could try to get the folks from the New York Fed who put together the supply chain pressure index. SPEAKER_07: Alexi was happy for Amanda, but he also wanted to secure his own interview. So he decided to plead his case. SPEAKER_05: There you are. I've been looking for you all morning. SPEAKER_14: I understand that you have heard about my interview. Yeah, that's right. SPEAKER_05: It turns out the New York Fed is also in charge of keeping their fingers on the pulse of the global supply chain. So I thought it might be nice to try to, you know, go directly to the gurgling source itself. We have a lot of Fed contacts. SPEAKER_05: Can you go to a different Fed? New York's the one that makes the index. SPEAKER_07: Amanda, remember, was not here to make friends. She had moved to America to win. Her interview with the New York Fed would be the only interview with the New York Fed. SPEAKER_05: It turns out the New York Fed is a scarce resource. Today it is. SPEAKER_14: For you it is. I was a very, very competitive person. I used to play a lot of sports. And I put that part of me away so as to not hurt anybody anymore. And now it's back. I'm sorry. I'm sorry I've gotten this competitive, but I'm going to win. SPEAKER_07: Erica, Alexi, and Amanda worked late into the night, writing their scripts and hunting for one last piece of interview tape that might help them earn the title of Econ Battlezone Champion. As the competition reached its final hours, nerves began to fray. SPEAKER_04: Hey everybody, it's Alexi. It's 7 a.m. on Thursday. Which means we are about four hours from the end of the competition. Um, I didn't sleep a lot. SPEAKER_14: I'm tired. I have a really big coffee. Oh god, I finished it. I had a really big coffee. SPEAKER_13: Oh man. I am really now actually starting to panic because I have a really good little segment, but it is an entire minute too long. SPEAKER_05: The pressure's on. The pressure's on. SPEAKER_13: I feel like I need to go lie down. SPEAKER_07: And five, four, three, two, one. Reporters, step away from your editing software. Hands in the air. Let me see your hands. Amanda, how are you feeling about your piece? SPEAKER_14: Feeling pretty good. You're going to end my three minutes and you will understand a concept you did not understand when it started. SPEAKER_07: Erica, how are you feeling about your piece? SPEAKER_13: My three minutes is a three minutes kids podcast and the child is my cohost and he did a pretty good job. I feel like that's not good for the competition to have Erica just doing like extra things. SPEAKER_14: I don't think it was necessary, but once I was in, I couldn't stop. SPEAKER_14: Alexi, how are you feeling about your piece? SPEAKER_05: Keith, you know, every time I turn something in, I feel pretty terrible about it, but I'm not sure if that has any bearing on the quality or reality of the piece. So I think it's fine. It's fine. SPEAKER_07: Coming up, our judges and our audience at home finally get to hear the stories our three contestants have been working so hard to make. And a new Econ Battlezone champion will be crowned. SPEAKER_01: This message comes from NPR sponsor Read Write Own, building the next era of the Internet, a new book on reimagining the Internet to empower the creators, fans and people who make the Internet useful. Order Read Write Own today or learn more at readwriteown.com. This advertisement comes from our paid sponsor Fundrise. High interest rates mean that real estate assets are available at a discount compared to previous valuations. The Fundrise flagship fund plans to expand its billion dollar real estate portfolio over the next few months. Add the Fundrise flagship fund to your portfolio at fundrise.com slash money. Carefully consider the investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses of the fund before investing. Read the prospectus at fundrise.com slash flagship. SPEAKER_09: This message comes from NPR sponsor Chevron. Methane management is a critical part of achieving a lower carbon future. Chevron is taking action to keep methane in the pipe. They're committed to evolving facility designs and operating practices, and they've trialed over 13 advanced detection technologies, including drones and satellites. That's energy in progress. Learn more at chevron.com slash methane. SPEAKER_08: Listening to the news can feel like a journey. The 1A podcast is here to guide you beyond the headlines and cut through the noise. Listen to 1A, where we celebrate your freedom to listen by getting to the heart of the story together. Only from NPR. SPEAKER_07: Welcome back to Econ Battlezone. We are back in Econ Battlezone Stadium where tensions are running high as Erica, Amanda and Alexi wait to play their stories for our judges and see who will be named the next champion. I'm here with our two guest judges, Noelle King, host of Today Explained. Hi, it's nice to see you. SPEAKER_07: And from the University of Chicago and the podcast Capital Isn't, Luigi Zingales. SPEAKER_15: Our pleasure. SPEAKER_07: Luigi, Noelle, your task is to decide which of our contestants did the best job explaining their challenge phrase and linking it to the debate about why inflation has been coming down, all while incorporating their mystery ingredient. Let's get right into it. Erica, you're up first. What do you have for the judges today? SPEAKER_13: My assignment was define labor hoarding, and I had to explain this to a child. And my take on it was, well, let me explain it to a child by making a children's mini Planet Money podcast and host it with a child. SPEAKER_07: All right, without further ado, Erica, when you're ready, please press play. SPEAKER_13: All right, here we go. SPEAKER_10: You're listening to Planet Money is for the kids from NPR. Hello and welcome to Planet Money is for the kids. I'm Paul. And I'm Erica Barris. I'm eight years old. I like to watch TV, go outside, catch snakes. SPEAKER_13: And do you like economics? SPEAKER_10: Well, no, not really. SPEAKER_13: So the first thing we're going to talk about is something called labor hoarding. SPEAKER_10: I know what hoarding means. It's like taking a bunch of stuff and like keeping it. And I kind of know what labor means. SPEAKER_13: Labor is work. And to help me explain labor hoarding, I called up economist Julia Pollack. SPEAKER_12: Labor hoarding is when an employer tries to hang on to all of their employees because they value them a lot. People usually value things when they're difficult to get. And in the past few years, it's actually been very difficult to find people to work in your ice cream store or to work in your school. Or at your toy factory. SPEAKER_13: Imagine you run a very busy toy factory, but then there's an economic downturn. Wah wah. And people aren't buying as many toys. If the factory doesn't need to make as many toys, it doesn't need as many workers. So you could just let those workers go. Or you could decide to hoard those jobs. Hoard those workers. What choice would you make? I would keep the workers I had because whenever things got better, there would still be people SPEAKER_10: who would want to buy stuff. SPEAKER_13: And if you got rid of the workers you had, then you'd have to go find new people that knew how to make those things. SPEAKER_10: Which would be hard. There might not be a lot of people who know how to make toys very well. And I don't know if there are, but there might not be a lot of people who know how to make toys good. SPEAKER_13: Bingo! Last year was one of the best years for people having jobs. Ever. Julia says if workers tried to leave jobs, employers offered them more money to stay. And there are hints of labor hoarding in jobs where things are slow right now, like in some financial services companies. SPEAKER_12: A lot of them still have the same number of workers as they did when they were doing 10 times as much business. So the economy is good, even though we've been dealing with inflation. SPEAKER_10: Well, I don't like inflation. Inflation is like the prices of things going up. SPEAKER_13: Right. Inflation is the rate at which the price of goods and services in the economy increase. And disinflation is when that speed is getting slower. There is some anecdotal evidence that employers are hoarding workers. SPEAKER_12: And they're competing, competing, competing and paying more and more and more. That can lead to inflation and delay disinflation. SPEAKER_13: So all this supposed labor hoarding may be a reason inflation won't come down as fast as people would like. Are you into economics? Um, a little bit now. Cool. I'm Erica Barris. I'm Paul, this is NPR. Thanks for listening. SPEAKER_07: Noelle, what'd you think? SPEAKER_11: Erica, I thought you had the easiest assignment because as reporters we're trained to be able to explain things to people as if they are children. However, I was very impressed that you included a child in the explanation with you. Really well done. Thank you. SPEAKER_07: Luigi, what'd you make of it? SPEAKER_15: I want to hire Paul as an assistant. SPEAKER_07: Is Paul available to be a research assistant, Erica? SPEAKER_13: He is free after 7 p.m. and before 8 p.m. every evening. Yes. SPEAKER_07: All right. Without further ado, then let's turn our attention to Amanda. Amanda, what did you bring us today? SPEAKER_14: My assignment is R-STAR, fairly esoteric economic concept. My secret ingredient is explaining in public. I decided that I was going to try to find exactly the right person to explain R-STAR. That is what I would like to present to you today. SPEAKER_07: All right, Amanda, when you are ready, go ahead and press play. SPEAKER_14: R-STAR. This is usually written with a small r and then an asterisk. The r, pretty straightforward. It stands for interest rates. The price of money, how much it costs to borrow money. Now it is the star in R-STAR that's the interesting part. And looking for that star is how I found myself at the 2024 Regional Economic Outlook event in White Plains, New York. There are trays of cheese and cubes, bottles of Saratoga sparkling water, and a lot of bankers and real estate brokers. You know, members of the public who care a lot about interest rates. Would you consider this a public event? SPEAKER_02: Yes, it is. SPEAKER_14: Do you consider yourself someone who works for the public? SPEAKER_02: A long-serving public. I've been in the Federal Reserve almost, well, over 29 years. SPEAKER_14: Oh, and there's also this person, John C. Williams, President and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York and Vice Chair of the committee that sets interest rates for the country. He's the invited speaker at this event and to my quite great surprise afterwards, he agreed to sit down and talk R-STAR. It was really in the late 90s when we first started thinking about it. SPEAKER_14: Now I get the sense this is sort of a passion project though as well. SPEAKER_02: All economics is a passion project. SPEAKER_14: Now when John Williams was a young-ger economist, he encountered an interesting question that had been around for about 100 years. SPEAKER_02: What's a normal interest rate? Like what's the interest rate that you would expect to see in the economy when the economy is doing well, inflation's low and stable? SPEAKER_14: And for many years it was just that, an interesting question with not much of an answer. SPEAKER_02: What is it? Is it two? Is it three? And how do I know? And does it change? SPEAKER_14: Imagine an economy that over the long haul is in this perfect equilibrium. Inflation's on target, the economy's growing at its potential, there's this perfect amount of borrowing and lending. Then in that economy, what would the hypothetical rate of interest be? SPEAKER_02: So there's this idea of a neutral thing. It's not too hot, not too cold, kind of Goldilocks. SPEAKER_14: To try to find this Goldilocks number, John Williams and his colleague Thomas Laubach designed a kind of mathematical model. Put in some GDP, account for inflation, look at real interest rates, add a little noise, and voila, a model for estimating a neutral interest rate, R-star. And at moments like this, right now, when the economy has gone through a bunch of shocks, pandemic, inflation, the Fed looks to models of R-star, like the one that John Williams worked on. SPEAKER_02: You know, it doesn't tell the Fed what it should do, but it is a useful way of thinking about what's normal look like once we get through the current situation we're in? What is it we're heading towards? SPEAKER_14: That is the star in R-star, a hypothetical interest rate, one that isn't intended to heat up or cool down the economy. It's more of a guiding star for the Fed during this dark night of inflation. SPEAKER_07: Thank you, Amanda. All right, judges. Noelle, let's start with you. SPEAKER_11: Amanda, you had the hardest job explaining this very complicated thing in public. I didn't think you nailed the public. I thought it was a nice effort, but I thought your explanation was magnificent. I'm going to confess, I came to this not knowing what R-star was. Right now, I could tell you what R-star is, and that is planet money well done. Nice job. SPEAKER_07: Luigi, your thoughts? SPEAKER_15: I agree with Noelle that she did an excellent job with explaining R-star, but I think that there was a little bit short discussion of the impact on inflation, meaning she was running out of time. SPEAKER_07: Fair. It's fair. All right. Thank you, judges. That leads us to our third and final contestant in Econ Battlezone. Alexei, what have you got for us? SPEAKER_05: Hi, Noelle and Luigi. For my challenge, I had to explain the term supply chain healing using the power of metaphor. The dish that I cooked up for you, I think of it as the fall and rise of the global supply chain in the style of a medical procedural with a hefty serving of mixed metaphors. SPEAKER_07: Alexei, when you're ready, go ahead and press play. SPEAKER_05: To figure out how a mixed metaphor like supply chain healing might help explain the disinflation we're seeing right now, I knew I needed to answer a couple of medical mysteries. First, what kind of injury did the supply chain actually sustain? And second, what does it mean for it to be healing? To get a diagnosis, I paged Kevin Kettles, who teaches supply chain management at Wayne State University. Do supply chain academics have like a name for themselves? You guys like the supply chain gang or something? SPEAKER_03: That's exactly right. We're the global supply chain gang. SPEAKER_05: Kevin says that until recently, most people barely knew they had a global supply chain, much less worried that it might be sick. That was kind of medically negligent, he says, given how essential it is to the body of the global economy. SPEAKER_03: What in our economies is commerce and moving stuff around the supply chain? It definitely be the circulatory system. SPEAKER_05: Whisking rare earth minerals ripped from the bowels of one country to the factories of another to the box stores of a third through blood vessel networks of rail lines and truck routes and shipping canals. But back in the spring of 2020, Kevin says, when factories and stores started shutting down due to COVID, that circulatory supply chain? SPEAKER_03: It was not working right. We had palpitations or something and the blood wasn't flowing correctly. First, there were the shortages when consumers wiped themselves into a frenzy over the dwindling SPEAKER_05: toilet paper supply or wrung their hands over the lack of sanitizer. By the time the blood flow of supply adjusted, the government was already pumping huge IV infusions of stimulus money to keep things circulating. And since consumers couldn't spend on services, they spent that money chasing goods that were already in short supply. Is there a word for when that happens? Inflation. And while many economists argued this was more of a transitory fever than a chronic condition, new complications soon developed like Russia's invasion of Ukraine. China caused new arterial blockages for wheat and natural gas, pushing the economy's price pressure to spike even higher. Soon after, Fed chair and chief monetary surgeon Jerome Powell prescribed an aggressive intervention, hoping to lower that inflationary swelling by submerging the economy in an ice bath of higher interest rates. In the months since, Kevin says the economic immune system of competition helped to heal that supply chain, reducing blockages and directing the blood flow of supply to more steadily and cheaply reach the tissues of demand. And we are now starting to see the inflationary fever break without the feared side effects of massive unemployment or recession. Kevin says he's hopeful the Fed will be able to pull off what economists and airline professionals the world over know as the soft landing. Do you think the plane that is the economy is a Boeing plane or more of an Airbus? SPEAKER_03: I think it's a Boeing plane. All right, so they better check their screws. SPEAKER_05: Yeah, that's right. Alexi Horowitz-Gazi, Planet Money Battlezone. SPEAKER_07: Thank you, Alexi. Judges, what did you make of that? SPEAKER_11: Noel? Alexi, you committed to the metaphor. You didn't even really mix. And I admire that. But I think of Planet Money as you gotta bring something else. You gotta bring zhuzh. You have to like have blood and sweat out on the field. And I feel Erica kidnapping somebody's baby and Amanda kidnapping a Fed president. To me, that's blood and sweat. SPEAKER_07: Luigi? SPEAKER_15: I actually think that it's very difficult to commit to a metaphor. And I think he did beautifully and all along until the end, which is not easy. I think that the circulation metaphor and the medicine metaphor is really a very useful one. So I might steal it in some of my classes. SPEAKER_05: I would be honored. SPEAKER_07: Who will Noel and Luigi choose? Will they reward Amanda for illustrating the most difficult concept and securing the most prestigious interview guest? Will the winner be Erica and her young co-host Paul for their creative approach to explaining labor hoarding? Or will Alexi and his extensive lecture-worthy metaphor secure him the title of Econ Battle Zone Champion? Alexi, Erica, Amanda, you were each tasked with relating your challenge phrase to inflation coming down while including your mystery ingredients. So who did it best? The time has come to name our next Econ Battle Zone Champion. Now comes the hard part. As much as we would love for you to all win the title, there can be only one winner. Luigi, Noel, who's taking home the belt? SPEAKER_11: The only thing more difficult than economics is children. And the only thing more difficult than children is children on tape. Erica, I thought by bringing Paul in and then doing a very compelling and very successful children's podcast, in addition to explaining the concept, that to me is the best of Planet Money. You are the winner. SPEAKER_13: This is the... I don't have words. Oh my goodness. I just don't have words. This is unbelievable. I can't believe I won. What do winners say? I don't know. Anything is possible. I'm so happy. SPEAKER_07: Erica, it is now my esteemed privilege to present you with... SPEAKER_13: Oh my goodness. The Econ Battle Zone Championship Belt. SPEAKER_13: I'm going to own that? Can I describe this? It looks like a wrestling belt. It's got like... It says Econ Battle Zone, billion dollar belt. It's a lot of gold. There is a lot of gold on this. I think this is my new prize possession. I'm so happy. SPEAKER_07: Will Erica successfully defend her Econ Battle Zone belt? Or will a new champion arise? Find out next time on Econ Battle Zone. Got an idea for a topic for our next Econ Battle Zone? You can email us. We are planetmoney at npr.org. Or if you want to see Erica with her Econ Battle Zone belt, keep an eye on our Instagram feed. We are at planetmoney. James Snead produced this episode with help from Emma Peasley. The show was edited by Molly Messick, engineered by Sina Lofredo, and fact checked by Sierra Juarez. Alex Goldmark is our executive producer. Special thanks today to Heidi Sheerholz, Yossi Cefi, Omar Sharif, and Patrick Penfield. I'm Keith Romer. This is NPR. Thanks for listening. SPEAKER_13: Anything else you want to share? SPEAKER_10: Well, it might not be a great time, but I think my cat's throwing up. SPEAKER_13: Oh no. Okay. Is your mom or dad around? SPEAKER_09: From an Iraq war cover up to towns ravaged by opioids to the roots of our modern immigration SPEAKER_00: crisis, Embedded explores what's been sealed off and undisclosed. NPR's original investigative podcast reveals why these stories and the people behind them matter. Listen to the Embedded podcast only from NPR.