Wind boom, wind bust (Two Windicators)

Episode Summary

The episode "Wind boom, wind bust" from Planet Money delves into the complex and fluctuating world of wind energy in the United States, focusing on two contrasting stories that highlight the industry's current economic moment of both boom and bust. The narrative begins with the anticipation and subsequent disappointment surrounding the first auction for offshore wind farms in the Gulf of Mexico. Despite high expectations, the auction results were underwhelming, with one of the three sites selling for a mere $5.5 million, a fraction of what similar sites had garnered in other regions like New York. This outcome pointed to several challenges facing the offshore wind industry in the Gulf, including the availability of cheaper alternative energy sources like solar power in Texas, the risks posed by hurricanes, and the relatively calm wind speeds compared to the Northeast. The episode further explores why the auction attracted such minimal interest, despite the potential advantages of the Gulf of Mexico for offshore wind energy, such as its shallow waters and existing seafaring expertise from the oil and gas industry. Factors such as the high costs of construction, supply chain issues, and the critical role of state-level financial incentives in determining the viability of offshore wind projects are examined. The lack of guaranteed prices for electricity in states like Louisiana, Texas, and Mississippi emerged as a significant barrier to attracting bids for the offshore wind sites. In contrast to the challenges faced by offshore wind energy in the Gulf, the episode shifts focus to the burgeoning job market for wind turbine service technicians, or wind techs, which is expected to grow by 45 percent over ten years. The story of Connor Theriault, a lead technician for Vestas in Maine, provides a personal and detailed look into the daily responsibilities and safety protocols of wind techs. The narrative highlights the importance of this rapidly growing profession in maintaining and servicing the wind turbines that are an integral part of America's renewable energy infrastructure. Despite the physical demands and potential hazards of the job, the positive impact on local communities and the environment, along with competitive salaries and benefits, make it an attractive career path for many. Overall, the episode paints a nuanced picture of the wind energy sector in the United States, illustrating the complex interplay of economic, environmental, and political factors that influence its development. While challenges remain, particularly in the expansion of offshore wind energy in certain regions, the growth of wind tech jobs underscores the potential for wind power to play a significant role in the country's transition to renewable energy.

Episode Show Notes

The wind power business is a bit contradictory right now. It's showing signs of boom and bust seemingly all at once.

The story of wind energy markets in two acts today. First, the Gulf of Mexico saw its first-ever auction of leases for offshore wind this summer. It was another sign of the Biden administration's desire to get more renewable energy online as fast as possible. Expectations were high, but results did not deliver. Two of the three patches of sea didn't get any bids at all. Hidden in the flop for this auction are some keys to what it takes to spark a whole new market, quickly.

Then, the booming side of wind power: the job that's projected to be the fastest-growing in the U.S. is wind turbine service technician. Is it a "good" job? Reporter Darian Woods suits up to see a green-collar job above the clouds for himself.

Today's episode is adapted from episodes for Planet Money's daily show, The Indicator. Subscribe here.

The original Indicator episodes were produced by Cooper Katz McKim and Julia Ritchey with engineering by Valentina Rodriguez Sanchez and James Willetts. They were fact-checked by Sierra Juarez and edited by Dave Blanchard and Kate Concannon.

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Episode Transcript

SPEAKER_02: This message comes from NPR sponsor, Discover.Get the credit card that's there for you.With 24-7 U.S.-based live customer service from Discover, everyone has the option to talk to a real person anytime.Limitations apply.See terms at discover.com slash credit card. SPEAKER_01: This is Planet Money from NPR. SPEAKER_04: Late last summer, Mike Salata was in his New Orleans office early.A hurricane was brewing in the Gulf of Mexico.But Mike was fixed on his screen for another big event for the Gulf.See, Mike had helped set up the first ever auction for offshore wind farms in the region.He works for the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management.That's a government agency that manages how the sea, owned by the government, is used for things like drilling oil or gas. It was leasing out patches of water for companies to build giant wind turbines in the water and sell their electricity. SPEAKER_06: It was a lot of anticipation.We were just waiting to see what those first bids would be.A lot of excitement. SPEAKER_04: A lot of excitement.And you can hear it in his voice. SPEAKER_05: I mean, look, Mike is a steady hand on this big government work.So, you know, he's appropriately measured. SPEAKER_04: But this auction could mean pretty high bids.A similar patch of ocean near New York had gone for over a billion dollars. SPEAKER_06: And when Mike had asked around with developers about interest in this Gulf site... We had a very good response, so we thought that there would be competitive interest. SPEAKER_05: But the sea patches did not go for anywhere near a billion dollars.One of the three sites sold for $5.5 million.That's well under 1% of New York's.And two didn't even get any offers. SPEAKER_04: Hello and welcome to Planet Money.I'm Waylon Wong. SPEAKER_05: I'm Darian Woods. SPEAKER_04: Today on the show, wind.Wind is in this weird economic moment.Boom and bust all jumbled together.It's this perfect opportunity to watch how a brand new market gets created or doesn't.The tale of wind in two acts today adapted from our daily podcast, The Indicator. First, the lows.An auction flop points out one of the overlooked keys to the green energy transition.And then the highs.The industry has created one of the fastest growing jobs in the country.The number of wind turbine service technicians, or wind techs, is expected to grow by 45 percent over 10 years. So if Darian goes to sea for himself, he tries his hand at being a wind tech way up in the clouds. SPEAKER_05: Okay, this is the windigator on the top of an air turbine.It's windy.Who'd have thought? SPEAKER_02: This message comes from NPR sponsor Capital One.Capital One offers checking accounts with no fees or minimums and no overdraft fees.That's banking reimagined.What's in your wallet?Terms apply.See CapitalOne.com slash bank.Capital One N.A.Member FDIC. SPEAKER_00: This message comes from NPR sponsor Capella University.With Capella's FlexPath learning format, you can earn your degree online at your own pace and get support from people who care about your success. This message comes from NPR sponsor Dell Technologies.Dell is celebrating with anniversary savings on their most popular tech, like the XPS 13+, so you can make the everyday easier with Windows 11.Save now at dell.com slash deals. SPEAKER_05: The Gulf of Mexico is a massive patch of sea framed by the U.S., Mexico, and Cuba. It's mainly known for its oil industry, and Mike Salata explained that it has a couple of advantages for offshore wind.First, it's not too deep. SPEAKER_06: There's a shallow slope to the water as you enter.The water is much warmer than the Atlantic.Growing up in Boston, I'm not sure how I ever went in the water in the Atlantic, but generally it can be 80 degrees.It's very warm. SPEAKER_04: Also, it's got all that seafaring expertise and equipment from the oil and gas industry.Those could be repurposed for wind. SPEAKER_06: There's a lot of strengths here in the Gulf of Mexico that I think will make offshore wind success in the future. SPEAKER_05: Now, Mike considered the auction a success, almost a proof of concept.But we wanted to hear from others in the industry about why this auction for offshore wind energy failed to get any interest at all for two sites. SPEAKER_07: It was a little deflating. SPEAKER_05: We asked Mark Repcher, a partner at PA Consulting, which is a clean energy advisory that worked with some of the energy companies that were considering bidding for the auction. SPEAKER_04: First, Mark says there are some downsides to the area.If you think about what other kinds of electricity you could generate in the region, like in Texas, there are cheaper options than to drill giant windmills into the Gulf floor, like solar power. SPEAKER_07: If you look at the western part of the state, there's a lot of empty land, there's a lot of space to do all of this development, and you can do it at a fraction of the cost on a much quicker development cycle than you could develop that offshore wind in the Gulf of Mexico. SPEAKER_05: That being said, you generally can't rely on just one source of renewable energy.When the sun isn't shining, you need something else.So offshore wind likely has a place in a portfolio of energy sources. SPEAKER_04: Another downside to the area was that hurricane at the time of the auction, Hurricane Adalia.And Hurricane Adalia was, of course, not a one-off in the Gulf.Hurricanes can damage wind turbines, but even when there's not a hurricane, it's actually calmer than outside New York or Massachusetts. SPEAKER_07: Wind speed's not as fast in the Gulf of Mexico as you see in the Northeast, so there's a tradeoff. SPEAKER_05: All right.So the location had some disadvantages, but these surely can't have been so bad as to warrant a 99.5% discount on their own.No. SPEAKER_04: And so we were curious, was there an issue with the auction itself? SPEAKER_05: Right.And being auction geeks, we learned that they use what's called a simultaneous ascending multiple round auction.And if you'll excuse us for nerding out for just a second. SPEAKER_04: Because that term wasn't nerdy enough, Darian. SPEAKER_05: Exactly.Right.So I've got to give the explanation.This is like a gold standard for government auctions.It's basically like an eBay auction when you've got a lot of things selling all at once.But instead of things going under the hammer and actually selling once the auction is over, that's actually kind of like the dress rehearsal.So bidding companies will go back to the drawing board after the first auction.They'll figure out what they've learned from that, you know, kind of almost like a practice round of an auction.And then they'll bid again. Auction experts say that this maximizes government revenue because those practice rounds make the companies less risk-averse. We looked at all this and we thought, you know, there probably wasn't a problem with the auction design itself.In fact, this might have brought in more money than if it had been a single round auction. SPEAKER_04: Let's look at some other possible culprits for why this auction drew so little interest.Mark Rupture says another issue is the cost of building the wind farms.Drilling into the seabed is never cheap. SPEAKER_07: And lately... Some of these initial cost estimates have slowly started to increase, sometimes quickly started to increase. SPEAKER_05: And you won't be surprised to hear the blame put on supply chain snarls, which raise costs.High interest rates at the moment also increase the cost of borrowing. And once you've built the offshore wind farm, you've got to connect those high voltage cables to land.And when they hit land, that means you'll need to fence off the area.So finding and permitting that can be a challenge. SPEAKER_04: So those are the difficulties building the wind farms.But that shouldn't fully stop developers from wanting to build them because these can be partially offset by federal subsidies. SPEAKER_07: The Inflation Reduction Act It was a huge benefit to the industry.You're knocking 30 to 40 percent off of the construction and installation costs to develop these projects. SPEAKER_05: And so the costs and the federal subsidies are more or less similar around the country. SPEAKER_04: All right.So we've ticked through the auction design, the pros and cons of the location, the construction costs, and we have finally hit the main answer for why the Gulf auction had so little interest. SPEAKER_05: Right.So Mark says it comes down to what the electricity can be sold for.Generally, states are in charge of how their electric grids operate.And so if you want to encourage offshore wind in your state, financial incentives matter.And the main financial incentive given around the country is a guaranteed price, a price of how much the electricity will be bought for.Mark says this is conspicuously minimal in Louisiana and Texas and Mississippi. SPEAKER_07: They haven't done anything really on the offshore wind side to say, we're going to provide an avenue for cash flow security.So when you kind of present that risk to a developer, when you're talking about projects that are in the billions of dollars, the calculus changes for them and they kind of have a pause, if you will, on, well, do I really want to take that risk? SPEAKER_05: Every state basically has a different system for electricity.So even with the federal supports in place... If the whole country is to dramatically boost green energy, what this auction reveals is that the states are critical to creating the electricity markets where that can happen. SPEAKER_04: The experts we spoke to were clear that state-level deals to attract offshore wind energy were key.But, you know, as we're exploring this clean energy future, we're still figuring out what sources are viable.Even in the Northeast, offshore wind companies are struggling to find routes to profitability. SPEAKER_05: Despite these struggles, Mike is still optimistic about offshore wind in the Gulf. SPEAKER_06: But overall, I think I am bullish on offshore wind in the Gulf of Mexico.I think there's a bright future there. SPEAKER_04: But whether or not that bright future for offshore wind happens may depend on the politics closer to home.Up next, the boom.Wind tech jobs are on the rise.And so is Darian.He travels to Maine and climbs a wind turbine.That's after the break. SPEAKER_05: We're opening the roof hatch. SPEAKER_02: Support for NPR and the following message come from State Farm.As a State Farm agent and agency owner, Lakeisha Gaines is passionate about empowering other small businesses. SPEAKER_01: In the last several years, there are more business owners than we can count.Businesses are opening up quite frequently.And I think that shows the need, the dreams and the desires of the community to to have the independence and to have the financial freedom that's important to them.The reason why it's so important to me to be out there to share information and to educate the community is because I know that a dream doesn't always help you to be successful.You need the competency, you need the wisdom, you need the knowledge.That's where we come in as State Farm agents.Our ability to be able to teach over 100 years of experience in this world to say, hey, we got you.You got this and we got this. Let's do it together. SPEAKER_02: Talk to your local agent about small business insurance from State Farm.Like a good neighbor, State Farm is there. SPEAKER_00: This message comes from NPR sponsor Intuit TurboTax.TurboTax experts make all your moves count, filing with 100% accuracy and getting your max refund guaranteed.So whether you paid your kids tuition, sold crypto, or moved states, switch to TurboTax and make your moves count.See guarantee details at TurboTax.com slash guarantees.Experts only available with TurboTax Live. SPEAKER_05: At the Bingham Wind Farm, you start your day with stretches.Picture a circle of men in an industrial garage.Beards, beanies.They're pulling on their steel-capped boots to stretch their quadriceps.It's a vital muscle in this job, which I'll find out later.This is all before a conversation about what needs to happen for the day. And in the crew, you've got Connor Theriault.He's a lead technician for Vestas.He's had the job for several years.He's super measured, which is important because safety is a huge priority at this company. SPEAKER_08: There's a lot of electrical hazards just inherent.You're in the motor control cabinets, rotational mechanical forces.Just there's a lot of hazards with the job. SPEAKER_05: Vestas is among the top wind energy companies in the world.It's a Danish company servicing more than 57,000 wind turbines globally.It's got a brigade of wind techs maintaining and fixing wind turbines.And with US wind capacity forecast to double in the decade to 2030, that is growing.And Look, I'll be honest, when I read about this, I did not know what the job actually was.Like, sure, maybe the blades need replacing once in a while, or the generators presumably break down sometimes.So that's how I found myself wearing a hard hat while riding an orange snowcat.You know, the snowmobiles with tracks like a tank. And today Connor's focusing on the annual maintenance of one of the wind turbines. So in between the snowy slopes of this woods in Maine, you've got 56 bone white wind turbines stretched into the sky.Each are about as high as a 28 story building.They're beautiful to some, they're ugly to others, but when all the wind farms are combined, they are generating about 10% of America's electricity. But in any case, I couldn't see them that day because of the fog.I mean, I could barely even see the one that we were meant to service. SPEAKER_08: Today's job, make sure the parts are all in good order. SPEAKER_05: Top up the lubricants and oil, check the engine's working well.We walked inside the ground floor of the wind turbine.Above us was a 34,500 volt cable and a very tall ladder. Knowing that I was going to soon be climbing up the inside of the equivalent of the Statue of Liberty, I was keen to learn more about these safety protocols I'd heard so much about.And in this case, safety meant a lot of gear.Hardhat and harness, obviously, but there were so many carabiners.Small ones, big ones, carabiners for my carabiners. As we got ready for climbing, I felt like I was carrying half my weight in these spring-loaded aluminium hooks.Our ascent was aided by a clever piece of technology called Climb Assist, which is like a little electric tug up the rope, kind of like pedal assist on an e-bike.It makes the scrambling easier. At the top was the engine room.Even with the mechanical help, I really understood why they were stretching their quads earlier.I was a little tired when I got to the top. SPEAKER_08: I mean, have you guys checked hydraulic oil? SPEAKER_05: And there you had a big blue dome, which was the electricity generator.You also had a computer and a steel cabinet to one side, tubes and cables neatly tucked away.And this is where a small team of wind techs will be based for two or three shifts.The turbine is off at the time.You don't want to be tumbling around, of course.And on the way up, Connor noticed some oil drips underneath the engine room. SPEAKER_08: We will drop down.It looked to be, it might have been a residual gear oil leak, but we can go investigate that. SPEAKER_05: Let's investigate the leak.So we headed back down one floor. SPEAKER_08: It looks like the gearbox is over full at one point.So there's a little bit on the deck below us.It'll be important to get that cleaned up. SPEAKER_05: Connor took a note to get his co-workers to figure out exactly how much oil the gearbox actually needs. SPEAKER_08: So we'll have them do that.That way they're all prepared for tomorrow morning. SPEAKER_05: The team was also replacing filters and refilling the turbines with lubricant that will slowly pump to the blades over the next year.They were sweeping out a year's worth of flies and ladybugs who had made the wind turbine their final resting place.We were like mice scurrying inside a sophisticated car engine.We were mice with hard hats on and a ton of carabiners. Looking up at one of those sleek, minimalist blades, you never would have known the complexity of what was behind the steel and fiberglass.I mean, I certainly didn't.We went slowly going down, one person at a time.Safety first, because one dropped cell phone or wrench could be deadly for somebody below.One fatality or serious injury could turn the tide of public opinion against these wind turbines. And that is already fragile enough as it is. You know, around the U.S., some people are worrying about the noise or what they'll do to the landscape.And back at the office, I asked Connor about what he'd heard from the people in the town. SPEAKER_08: You know, certain guys will sort of gripe about, oh, you know, I used to hunt that land and you guys have ruined it.But honestly, we see moose and deer all the time.Like, the animals are still here.But for the most part, people are very receptive. SPEAKER_05: The wind farms open to the public.So people on snowmobiles, hikers, hunters, they'll actually chat with the wind decks. SPEAKER_08: Our guys are really good about taking the time to, you know, explain certain things and answer questions that they may have.And everyone, for the most part, is honestly very positive. SPEAKER_05: And Connor himself was really good about taking the time to show me through his day.Time is valuable. His base pay is around $73,000 plus overtime and benefits.And that's only likely to increase as the competition for hiring wind turbine service technicians heats up.Well, thank you so much for your time.I really appreciate it.Absolutely.Thank you for coming. SPEAKER_04: These episodes were adapted from Planet Money's daily podcast, The Indicator.Every weekday, one insight on the news from an economic point of view in 10 minutes or less.The original episodes are produced by Cooper Katz-McKim and Julia Ritchie with engineering by Valentina Rodriguez-Sanchez and James Willits.They're fact-checked by Sarah Juarez and edited by Dave Blanchard and Kate Kincannon.This is NPR.Thanks for listening. 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